Saturday, 22 February 2025

Decoding the Specialist vs. Generalist Debate in Public Administration

#CONTEXT - Former RBI Governor- ShaktikantDas appointment to such a specialised job and today he has got into PMO as PS-2. His appointment was contested and scrutinised on account that at the time of entry into the service (IAS), he was just a BA graduate (History Hons.) and hence he shouldn't be given this task. In contrast, he was honored with the 'Governor of the Year 2023' award by the London-based financial journal Central Banking and received an A+ rating in the Global Finance Central Banker Report Cards for 2024. He was the one who successfully steered us amid COVID.

Many more such appointments are contested in the public domain on the same analogy. My below take on some mythical and factual errors over this SPECIALIST Vs. GENERALIST debate that public at large gets engulfed into.

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When we discuss the debate between specialists and generalists in public administration, particularly in the Indian context, we tend to adopt a myopic perspective. The fact remains that when we refer to generalists, it primarily denotes the mode of recruitment. For instance, the UPSC conducts a generalist examination to recruit high administrative officials. However, over time, these officers are absorbed into specialised cadres such as the Indian Revenue Service, Indian Police Service, Indian Trade Service, Indian Corporate Law Service, and others. The journey of these officers begins in a specialised environment with specialized training, offering numerous avenues for deeper specialisation within their respective domains.

A similar phenomenon is observed in the corporate sector, from where this jargon originates. Even in Business Administration, specialisation is developed after entering MBA programs, where students choose fields like Sales, Marketing, Finance, HR, etc. Later, through job postings, internships, and practical experience, they further refine their expertise. However, the mode of recruitment remains generalist in nature, as seen in the Common Admission Test (CAT), which assesses aptitude at a Class 10-12 level. 

Specialisation is a journey; achieving a state of absolute specialisation would be a utopian idea. Both specialisation by experience and specialization by recruitment are distinct pathways designed to meet the dynamic demands of public administration.

Officers from the IAS, IPS, IRS, and other services gain specialisation through experience, training, role assignments, job enrichment, and various postings. One cannot compare an IAS or IPS officer with a basic BA degree at the time of recruitment to the same officer years later, who has gained deep specialisation within their service domain. Specialisation and being technically skilled to perform niche tasks—such as cloud computing, blockchain, MS Excel, data visualisation, etc.—are two different concepts. Skills can be acquired at any time as per job or situational requirements, while aptitude remains a fundamental prerequisite.

There should be no confusion between specialization and being skilled in a particular task

For example, a film director (who's specialized) in overall filmmaking, yet he relies on a Director of Photography (skilled manpower) to ensure high-quality pixel capture efficiency. Similarly, IAS, IPS, and IRS officers belong to already specialized services within their respective domains; only their mode of recruitment is generalist. However, this recruitment process effectively assesses attitude and aptitude, which are essential, non-negotiable qualities for public service.

We should not assume that an exam is specialized merely because it contains questions on subjects like mathematics and science. In Indian administration, officers across various services attain specialisation in specific areas, such as:

  1. Water Resource Management – Parameswaran Iyer (IAS)
  2. Auditing – Indian Audit and Accounts Service (IAAS)
  3. Cyber Security – IPS officers
  4. Internal Security – Ajay Bhalla (IAS), presently the Governor of Manipur, an expert in internal security challenges. Who can be better than him equipped to handle the crisis.
  5. Geopolitics – Dr. S. Jaishankar (IFS)
  6. Economic Policy and Finance – Arvind Subramanian (Former Chief Economic Advisor, IAS)
  7. Technology and Digital Initiatives – Aruna Sundararajan (IAS, key contributor to Digital India)
  8. Health Policy and Public Health – Preeti Sudan (IAS, former Health Secretary of India)
  9. Urban Development – Keshav Varma (IAS, specialized in Smart Cities and Urban Planning)
  10. Disaster Management – Kamal Kishore (IAS, specialized in disaster response and mitigation)

Governance necessitates a macro outlook. Keeping the mode of recruitment at the basic zero stage as generalist allows aspirants to develop a foundational awareness/that macro outlook of their surroundings. Though there are ample room for improvements at all levels - recruitment, training, Job designation, Review etc., that's NOT the objective of the present analysis.


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Wednesday, 5 February 2025

Decoding India’s Budget 2025-26 :


(The below article is covered under 3 parts, namely : Part A - "Stimulating Aggregate Demand Through Fiscal Interventions" , Part B - "Preconditions for a Successful Consumption-Led Model" and Part C - "Supplementary Interventions for Broader Impact")
  

# Indian Budget 2025-26: Fuelling Growth Through a Consumption-Led, Multiplier-Driven Approach : 

In its 2025-26 fiscal strategy, the Indian government has embraced a balanced approach to spur economic growth—leveraging both capital expenditure (Capex) and targeted tax cuts. This dual strategy is designed to act as a “money multiplier,” where initial fiscal injections lead to successive rounds of spending, ultimately boosting aggregate demand. 

# (A) Stimulating Aggregate Demand Through Fiscal Interventions :

1. Capex and Tax Cuts: The Twin Engines of Growth : The budget’s focus on increased Capex (11.2 Cr + 4 Lac Cr (GOCA) + 3 Lac Cr (by PSEs) ) is intended to create a robust infrastructure foundation, which in turn facilitates higher productivity and long-term growth. Simultaneously, tax cuts serve as an immediate stimulus by increasing disposable incomes. Notably, these cuts are calibrated to benefit middle-income groups—especially NIL tax till those earning around ₹12.75 lakhs per annum—who typically have a higher marginal propensity to consume. Also, keeping in mind that effective tax cuts in absolute terms has happened across the income groups.According to the IMF’s Fiscal Monitor (2023), middle-income households typically exhibit an MPC of 0.6–0.8 in emerging economies, meaning 60–80% of additional income is spent immediatelyEmpirical evidence, including studies by the IMF, indicates that households with greater liquidity tend to spend a larger proportion of any incremental income, thereby accelerating the multiplier effect. 

2. Consumption-Led Growth : Enhanced disposable income is expected to drive consumption in key sectors such as tourism, fast-moving consumer goods (FMCG), white goods, and hospitality. Increased consumer spending not only supports these industries directly but also sends a positive signal to the corporate sector, potentially spurring further investment. Historical precedents, such as the post-2008 fiscal stimulus measures in several advanced economies, have demonstrated how consumption-led growth can revitalise corporate confidence and spur capital investments.

# (B) Preconditions for a Successful Consumption-Led Model :

1. Understanding the Multiplier Effect & accelerating the Velocity of Money :
The money multiplier effect relies on initial fiscal injections leading to successive rounds of spending throughout the economy. However, for this mechanism to work effectively, the velocity of money—how quickly money circulates within the economy—must be high. To complement fiscal measures, the government is emphasising digital payment platforms such as the Unified Payments Interface (UPI) and Payements Banks. With the RBI reporting exponential growth in UPI transactions, these digital channels are key to ensuring that money circulates rapidly, reinforcing the multiplier effect and bolstering overall economic activity.

2. Domestic Spending/Reinvestment of Increased Disposable Income :
For the multiplier effect to have a substantial impact, it is critical that the extra disposable income generated by tax cuts is reinvested into the domestic market. Experiences from both the WB and India’s Economic Survey highlight the importance of ensuring that consumer spending benefits local industries rather than fuelling imports. If additional disposable income is spent on imports, the intended stimulus may not fully materialise.

3. Enhancing Product Quality and “Make in India” :
The success of a consumption-led growth model also hinges on the availability of high-quality domestic products. If consumers continue to prefer imported goods, the benefits of higher disposable incomes may leak out of the domestic economy. Strengthening the “Make in India” initiative by ensuring competitive quality can help retain consumer spending domestically.

4. Avoiding Supply-Side Constraints and Inflation, while adopting a Dovish stance by RBI :
While increased consumption is welcome, it must be matched by an uptick in private sector investment to prevent supply-side inflation. Without sufficient capacity expansion, higher demand can lead to price rises, thereby eroding purchasing power. Here, a coordinated approach involving the RBI is essential. Easing monetary policy to facilitate accessible borrowing can help private enterprises invest in expanding production capacities, thereby mitigating inflationary pressures.

5. Taking this as ONLY a "GROWTH TRIGGER" :
It is also important to recognise that the benefits of these fiscal measures may not materialize overnight. Consumption patterns vary across demographics and regions, and the full impact of enhanced spending will likely unfold gradually. In this sense, the current fiscal interventions should be viewed as growth catalysts designed to nurture positive consumer sentiment and set in motion a virtuous cycle of economic expansion.

# (C) Supplementary Interventions for Broader Impact :

To complement fiscal measures and ensure the multiplier effect reaches a wider section of society, the government should consider additional interventions as follows :

1. Rationalising and Reducing GST Rates :

  • Broader Impact: The current GST framework, while effective in revenue generation, affects a limited group of taxpayers. Lowering and rationalizing GST rates can extend benefits to a larger portion of the population by reducing the overall tax burden on consumption.
  • Economic Competitiveness: By easing tax pressures, businesses can reduce costs, ultimately making products more competitive in both domestic and global markets.

2. Raising the Minimum Wage Across Sectors :

  • Wider Economic Impact: Increasing the minimum wage ensures that a broader segment of the workforce benefits directly from economic growth. Higher wages translate into increased purchasing power, which can further stimulate domestic consumption.
  • Social Equity: A well-calibrated minimum wage policy can contribute to reducing income disparities and promoting inclusive growth.

3. Reducing Petroleum and Diesel Prices :

  • Lowering Freight Costs: Decreasing petroleum or diesel prices can significantly reduce freight and transportation costs, which are a major component of overall production costs.
  • Enhancing Competitiveness: Lower transportation costs help reduce the final price of goods, making Indian products more competitive both in domestic and international markets.
  • Boosting Industry Efficiency: Such measures can particularly benefit sectors that rely heavily on transportation, thereby promoting broader economic efficiency.


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Preliminary Report @ AIC 171 Crash - Raises More Questions Rather Than Answering !!

( Report can be accessed here - https://aaib.gov.in/What's%20New%20Assets/Preliminary%20Report%20VT-ANB.pdf  ) The preliminary report on...